September 02, 2022:
Information Clearing House
--
On August 22 the
exchange-traded market price for natural gas in
the German THE (Trading Hub Europe) gas hub was
trading more than 1000% higher than a year ago.
Most citizens are told by the Scholz regime that
the reason is Putin and Russia’s war in Ukraine.
The truth is quite otherwise. EU politicians and
major financial interests are using Russia to
cover what is a Made in Germany and Brussels
energy crisis. The consequences are not
accidental.
It is not because politicians
like Scholz or German Green Economy Minister
Robert Habeck, nor EU Commission Green Energy
Vice President Frans Timmermans are stupid or
clueless. Corrupt and dishonest, maybe yes. They
know exactly what they are doing. They are
reading a script. It is all part of the EU plan
to deindustrialize one of the most
energy-efficient industrial concentrations on
the planet. This is the UN Green Agenda 2030
otherwise known as Klaus Schwab’s Great Reset.
EU Gas Market Deregulated
What the EU Commission and
government ministers in Germany and across the
EU are carefully hiding is the transformation
they have created in how the natural gas price
is determined today. For almost two decades the
EU Commission, backed by the mega banks such as
JP MorganChase or large speculative hedge funds,
began to lay the basis for what is today a
complete deregulation of the market for natural
gas. It was promoted as the “liberalization” of
the European Union’s natural gas market. What it
now allows is for unregulated real-time free
market trading to fix prices rather than
long-term contracts.
Beginning around 2010 the EU
began to push a radical change in rules for
pricing natural gas. Prior to that point most
gas prices were set in fixed long-term contracts
for pipeline delivery. The largest supplier,
Russia’s Gazprom, provided gas to the EU, most
especially to Germany, in long-term contracts
pegged to the price of oil. Until the last
several years almost no gas was imported by LNG
ships. With a change in US laws to allow export
of LNG from the huge shale gas production in
2016 US gas producers began a major expansion of
LNG export terminal construction. The terminals
take an average of 3 to 5 years to build. At the
same time Poland, Holland and other EU countries
began to build LNG import terminals to receive
the LNG from abroad.
Emerging from World War II as
the world leading oil supplier, the
Anglo-American oil giants, then called the Seven
Sisters, created a global oil price monopoly. As
Henry Kissinger noted during the oil shocks of
the 1970s, “Control the oil and you control
entire nations.” Since the 1980s Wall Street
banks, led by Goldman Sachs, created a new
market in “paper oil,” or futures and derivative
trading of future oil barrels. It created a huge
casino of speculative profits that was
controlled by a handful of giant banks in New
York and the City of London.
Those same powerful financial
interests have been working for years to create
a similar globalized “paper gas” market in
futures they could control. The EU Commission
and their Green Deal agenda to “decarbonize” the
economy by 2050, eliminating oil, gas and coal
fuels, provided the ideal trap that has led to
the explosive spike in EU gas prices since 2021.
To create that “single” market control, the EU
was lobbied by the globalist interests to impose
draconian and de facto illegal rule changes on
Gazprom to force the Russian owner of various
gas distribution pipeline networks in the EU to
open them to competitor gas.
The big banks and energy
interests that control EU policy in Brussels had
created a new independent price system parallel
to the long-term, stable prices of Russian
pipeline gas which they did not control.
By 2019 the series of
bureaucratic energy directives of the Brussels
EU Commission allowed fully deregulated gas
market trading to de facto set the prices for
natural gas in the EU, despite the fact that
Russia was still by far the largest gas import
source. A series of virtual trading “hubs” had
been established to trade gas futures contracts
in several EU countries. By 2020 the Dutch TTF
(Title Transfer Facility) was the dominant
trading center for EU gas, the so-called EU gas
benchmark. Notably, TTF is a virtual platform of
trades in futures gas contracts between in
trades between banks and other financial
investors, “Over-The-Counter.” That means it is
de facto unregulated, outside any regulated
exchange. This is critical to understand the
game being run in the EU today.
In 2021 only 20% of all
natural gas imports to the EU were LNG gas,
whose prices were largely determined by futures
trades in the TTF hub, the EU de facto gas
benchmark, owned by the Dutch Government, the
same government destroying its farms for a
fraudulent nitrogen pollution claim. The largest
import share of European gas came from Russia’s
Gazprom supplying more than 40% of EU imports in
2021. That gas was via long term pipeline
contracts whose price was vastly lower than
today’s TTF speculation price. In 2021 EU states
paid an estimated penalty cost around $30
billion more for natural gas in 2021 than if
they had stuck with Gazprom oil-indexation
pricing. The banks
loved it. US industry and consumers not.
Only by destroying the Russian gas market in the
EU could financial interests and the Green Deal
advocates create their LNG market control.
Closing EU Pipeline
Gas
With full EU backing for the
new gas wholesale market, Brussels, Germany and
NATO began systematically to close stable,
long-term pipeline gas to the EU.
After she broke diplomatic
ties with Morocco in August, 2021 over disputed
territories, Algeria announced the
Maghreb-Europe (MGE) gas pipeline, which was
launched in 1996, would cease operation on
October 31, 2021, when the relevant agreement
expired.
In September 2021 Gazprom
completed its multibillion dollar undersea Nord
Stream 2 gas pipeline from Russia across the
Baltic Sea to northern Germany. It would double
the capacity of Nord Stream 1 to 110 billion
cubic meters annually, allowing Gazprom to be
independent of interference with gas deliveries
via its Soyuz pipeline going through Ukraine.
The EU Commission, backed by the Biden
Administration, blocked opening of the pipeline
with bureaucratic sabotage, and finally German
Chancellor Scholz imposed sanction on the
pipeline on February 22 over Russian recognition
of Donetsk People’s Republic and Luhansk
People’s Republic. With the growing gas crisis
since, the German government has refused to open
Nord Stream 2 despite the fact it is finished.
Then on May 12, 2022 although
Gazprom deliveries to the Soyuz gas pipeline
through Ukraine were uninterrupted for almost
three months of conflict, despite Russia’s
military operations in Ukraine, the
NATO-controlled Zelenskyy regime in Kiev closed
a major Russian pipeline through Lugansk, that
was binging Russian gas both to his Ukraine as
well as EU states, declaring it would remain
closed until Kiev gets full control of its
pipeline system that runs through the two
Donbass republics. That section of the Ukraine
Soyuz line cut one-third of gas via Soyuz to the
EU. It certainly did not help the EU economy at
a time Kiev was begging for more weapons from
those same NATO countries. Soyuz opened in 1980
under the Soviet Union bringing gas from the
Orenburg gas field.
Next came the Jamal Russian
gas pipeline through Belarus and through Poland
to Germany. In December 2021, two months before
the Ukraine conflict, the Polish government
closed the Polish part of the pipeline cutting
Gazprom gas delivery at low prices to Germany as
well as Poland. Instead Polish gas companies
bought Russian gas in the storage of German gas
companies, via the Polish-German section of the
Jamal pipeline at a higher price in a reverse
flow. The German gas companies got their Russian
gas via long-term contract for a very low
contract price and resold to Poland at a huge
profit. This insanity was deliberately
downplayed by the Green Economics Minister
Habeck and Chancellor Scholz and German media,
even though it forced German gas prices even
higher and worsened the German gas crisis. The
Polish government refused to renew its gas
contract with Russia, and instead buys gas on
the free market for vastly higher prices. As a
result no more Russian gas to Germany via Jamal
is flowing.
Finally gas delivery via Nord
Stream 1 undersea pipeline has been interrupted
because of needed repair of a Siemens-made gas
turbine. The turbine was sent to a special
facility of Siemens in Canada where the
anti-Russian Trudeau regime held it for months
before finally releasing it on request of German
government. Yet they deliberately refused to
grant the delivery to its Russian owner, but
instead to Siemens Germany, where it sits, as
the German and Canadian governments refuse to
grant a legally binding sanctions exemption for
the transfer to Russia. By this means Gazprom
gas through Nord Stream 1 is also dramatically
reduced to 20% of normal.
In January, 2020 Gazprom
began sending gas from its TurkStream pipeline
through Turkey and on to Bulgaria and Hungary.
In March 2022 Bulgaria unilaterally, with NATO
backing, cut its gas supplies from TurkStream.
Hungary’s Viktor Orban, by contrast, secured
continuation with Russia of TurkStream gas. As a
result today Hungary has no energy crisis and
imports Russian pipeline gas at contract very
low fixed prices.
By systematically sanctioning
or closing gas deliveries from long-term, low
cost pipelines to the EU, gas speculators via
the Dutch TTP have been able to use every hiccup
or energy shock in the world, whether a record
drought in China or the conflict in Ukraine, to
export restrictions in the USA, to bid the EU
wholesale gas prices through all bounds. As of
mid-August the futures price at TTP was 1,000%
higher than a year ago and rising daily.
German Highest Price Madness
The deliberate energy and
electricity price sabotage gets even more
absurd. On August 28, German Finance Minister
Christian Lindner, the sole cabinet member from
the Liberal Party (FDP), revealed that under the
opaque terms of the complex EU Electricity
Market Reform measures, the producers of
electricity from solar or wind automatically
receive the same price for their “renewable”
electricity they sell to the power companies for
the grid as the highest cost, i.e. natural gas!
Lindner called for an
“urgent” change to the German energy law to
decouple different markets. The fanatical Green
Economics Minister Robert Habeck immediately
replied that, “We are working hard to find a new
market model,” but cautioning that the
government must be mindful not to intervene too
much: “We need functioning markets and, at the
same time, we need to set the right rules so
that positions in the market
are not abused.”
Habeck in fact is doing all
possible to build the Green Agenda and eliminate
gas and oil and nuclear, the only reliable
energy sources at present. He refuses to
consider re-opening three nuclear plants closed
a year ago or to reconsider closing the
remaining three in December. While declaring in
a Bloomberg interview that, ”I will not approach
this question ideologically,” in the next breath
he declared, “Nuclear power is not the solution,
it is the
problem.” Habeck as well as the EU
Commission President Ursula von der Leyen have
repeatedly declared more investment in
unreliable wind and solar is the answer to a gas
price crisis that their policies have
deliberately created. In every respect the
suicidal energy crisis ongoing in Europe has
been “Made in Germany,” not in Russia.
F. William
Engdahl is strategic risk consultant and
lecturer, he holds a degree in politics from
Princeton University and is a best-selling
author on oil and geopolitics, exclusively for
the online magazine “New
Eastern Outlook”.
Views expressed in this article are
solely those of the author and do not necessarily
reflect the opinions of Information Clearing House.
in this article are
solely those of the author and do not necessarily
reflect the opinions of Information Clearing House.
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